我国经济发展不平衡时空变化特征分析

我国经济发展不平衡时空变化特征分析(论文12000字)
摘要：基于1978-2014年我国经济发展数据，采用基尼系数、泰尔指数等衡量方法，结合ArcGis、excel等软件，计算出多个衡量我国经济发展指标性数据；参考国内外相关研究，合理划分了全国经济区域和不同时间段，定量的分析了36年来我国经济发展的时空特征，结果表明：1）我国经济发展差异，在时间上属于先增大再减小后增大的发展趋势，仍处于经济差异较大的状态；2）在空间上，沿海3个地区的经济水平始终处于全国经济发展前列，中部地区逐步加速发展，相对来说西部地区经济发展较为落后，个别地区发展迅速；3）采用基尼系数、泰尔指数以及泰尔贡献率等经济衡量指标能够较好的定量分析经济发展数据，结合地理信息技术可以直观的表现经济发展差异，描述经济发展规律，最终得到我国经济发展时空特征。
关键字：经济发展不平衡；时空节点；基尼系数；泰尔指数；
 
Analysis of spatial and temporal changes in China's economic development
Abstract: Based on the 1978-2014 data of economic development in China, we calculate the Gene coefficient, Theil index and other measures, combined with technology of ArcGis and Excel, we get a sort of China's economic development index data. With researches in China and abroad, we reasonably divided national economic regions and time of development to obtain a quantitative analysis of the characteristics of time and space. The economic development process of our country in 36 years showed that: 1) the difference of economic development in China has seen a great increase in first part of time, and then went decrease during 2nd period, finally it got a trend of decline. Now Chinese economy still has widely differences in different regions; 2) in term of space, the economy level of 3 coastal areas is always in the forefront of the development of the national economy, the central region gradually accelerate the development of economy, the western region's economic development accordingly stay in backward, with individual areas of rapid development; 3) Economic balance quantitative indicators, included the Gene coefficient, Theil index and Theil contribution rate, can be useful to get a good quantitative analysis of economic development data. We combined the GIS technology with those economic balance quantitative indicators to describe performance of economic development differences intuitively and rule of economic development. In the end we get the temporal and spatial characteristics of China's economic development.
Key words: Economic development is not balanced; space-time node; Gini coefficient; Theil index;

目 录
1 引言    1
2 数据与方法    1
2.1 研究区域概况    2
2.2 数据    2
2.2.1经济数据来源    3
2.2.2 GIS数据    3
3 研究方法    3
3.1 时间划分    3
3.2 空间划分    4
3.3 指标选取    5
3.3.1基尼系数    5
3.3.1泰尔指数    6
3.4 GIS技术    6
3.4.1热点分析    6
4 经济发展不平衡时间特征分析    7
4.1 整体经济发展时间特征    7
4.2 区域经济发展时间特征    8
5 经济发展不平衡空间特征分析    10
6 结论    13
参考文献    13
致谢    15