基于ARIMA模型的我国房价地产价格预测分析

基于ARIMA模型的我国房价地产价格预测分析(论文6000字)
摘  要:本文将基于我国房地产市场价格的历史数据，并构建相应的ARIMA模型，对2015年的房地产价格变化进行预测。
关键词:ARIMR 模型；我国房价地产价格；时间序列；预测
Based on the analysis of ARIMA model our country housing real estate price forecast
Abstract: This article use the historical data of price of real estate in our country, construct the real estate price fluctuations AMIRA prediction model, the changes on real estate prices in 2015 forecast to our country.
Key words: ARIMR model; House prices in China real estate prices; Time series; To predict

目  录
1引言……………………………………………………………………………(1)
2研究背景与目的………………………………………………………………(1)
3模型建立………………………………………………………………………(3)
3.1ARIMA模型简介   …………………………………………………………(2)
3.2数据样本……………………………………………………………………(4)
3.3数据平稳性检验……………………………………………………………(4)
3.4模型建立及其检验…………………………………………………………(6)
3.5模型的预测…………………………………………………………………(8)
4讨论结果………………………………………………………………………(9)
5致谢………………………………………………………………………… (10)
6参考文献…………………………………………………………………… (10)